76 lines
3.2 KiB
Markdown
76 lines
3.2 KiB
Markdown
# 05. Estimated Timelines
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## 1. Date Anchors
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- Planning baseline date: **Thursday, February 26, 2026**
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- Proposed execution start: **Monday, March 2, 2026**
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- 12-week target launch window end: **Sunday, May 24, 2026**
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- Recommended contingency buffer: **May 25-31, 2026**
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## 2. Timeline Summary
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| Phase | Dates | Duration | Confidence |
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|---|---|---:|---|
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| Phase 0 prerequisites | Mar 2 - Mar 8 | 1 week | High |
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| Phase 1 safety substrate | Mar 9 - Mar 22 | 2 weeks | Medium |
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| Phase 2 Hub APIs/models | Mar 16 - Mar 29 | 2 weeks (overlap) | High |
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| Phase 3 wrapper execution layer | Mar 23 - Apr 12 | 3 weeks | Medium |
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| Phase 4 provisioner retool | Mar 30 - Apr 19 | 3 weeks (overlap) | Medium |
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| Phase 5 mobile + website + portal | Apr 6 - May 3 | 4 weeks | Medium |
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| Phase 6 templates + demo | Apr 27 - May 10 | 2 weeks | Medium |
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| Phase 7 hardening + canary + launch | May 4 - May 24 | 3 weeks | Medium-Low |
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## 3. Milestones
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| Milestone | Target Date | Exit Condition |
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|---|---|---|
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| M1: Cleanup gate passed | Mar 8, 2026 | n8n and deprecated deploy paths removed; plaintext secret leak fixed |
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| M2: Security substrate alpha | Mar 22, 2026 | redaction proxy + classifier + plugin skeleton integrated |
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| M3: Hub tenant APIs beta | Mar 29, 2026 | register/heartbeat/approval/usage contracts stable |
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| M4: First full tenant provision | Apr 12, 2026 | new VPS boots with OpenClaw + Safety + heartbeat |
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| M5: Customer interface beta | May 3, 2026 | web portal + mobile approvals + onboarding flow functional |
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| M6: Launch candidate | May 17, 2026 | full security/perf test pass; canary starts |
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| M7: Founding member launch | May 24, 2026 | canary complete; runbooks and rollback drills signed off |
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## 4. Weekly View (Condensed)
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```text
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Week 1 (Mar 2) : Phase 0 prerequisite cleanup
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Week 2-3 : Phase 1 safety substrate begins
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Week 3-4 : Phase 2 Hub API/data model work (parallel)
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Week 4-6 : Phase 3 wrapper execution + adapters
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Week 5-7 : Phase 4 provisioner retool and browser migration
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Week 6-9 : Phase 5 customer portal/mobile/website
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Week 9-10 : Phase 6 templates + interactive demo
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Week 10-12 : Phase 7 hardening, canary rollout, launch
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Buffer Week : May 25-31 contingency
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```
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## 5. Critical Timeline Risks
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| Risk | Schedule Impact If Realized |
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| OpenClaw hook behavior drift or undocumented edge cases | +1 to +2 weeks |
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| Provisioner migration instability on fresh VPS images | +1 week |
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| Mobile push approval reliability issues (iOS/Android differences) | +0.5 to +1 week |
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| Token billing reconciliation defects with Stripe meter events | +1 week |
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| Security findings in redaction/gating late in cycle | +1 to +3 weeks |
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## 6. Confidence Ranges
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| Scenario | Launch Window |
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| Optimistic | May 17-24, 2026 |
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| Most likely | May 24-31, 2026 |
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| Conservative | June 7-14, 2026 |
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## 7. Scope Compression Options (If Needed)
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To preserve security and launch by May 24-31, de-scope in this order:
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1. Delay WhatsApp/Telegram fallback to post-launch.
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2. Limit initial tool adapter set to top 8 usage tools, keep others on browser fallback.
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3. Ship 3 first-hour templates at launch, add the 4th in first patch.
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Do **not** cut redaction, gating, approval, or metering correctness work.
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